Consider the following scenario: “You are asked to guess the position of a coin that is thrown to a pound. You are given two pieces of information: 1) the person throwing the coin is aiming at the middle of the pond, and 2) you can see the positions of the splashes that the coin makes when falling in the water.” What’s your best guess about where the coin fell?

Question

BlackTom AI · Accepted Answer

The task asks you to infer where the coin landed given two clues: the thrower aimed at the pond’s middle, and you can see the water splashes from the fall.
Option 1: 'The coin fell exactly in the middle of the splashes.' This matches the intuitive idea that splash points cluster around the actual impact site; if you imagine the splashes radiating outward from the landing point, the center of that splash pattern is a good estimate of where the coin entered the water.
Option 2: 'The coin fell in the middle of the pond because that’s what the person throwing the coin is aiming for.' This conflates the aim point with the landing point; a thrower aiming at the middle of the pond does not guarantee the coin lands there, especially after distortions like wind, spin, or water resistance.
Option 3: 'The coin fell somewhere between the middle of the pond and the middle of the splashes.' This suggests a location that blends the aim point with an inferred splash center, but without a clear basis for selecting a point between, it weakly argues for a specific location and ignores the stronger cue provided by the splash center.
Option 4: 'It’s hard to say because the thrower isn’t very accurate, and the splashes are a bit random too.' While throw accuracy and splash irregularity can matter, the presence of a discernible splash pattern typically offers a meaningful cue about the impact point, making this overly pessimistic given the information provided.
In sum, the most reliable inference from a clustered splash pattern is to treat the splash center as the landing point, making option 1 the strongest choice among the given options.

PSYC30018_2025_SM1 Exam: Neuroscience and the Mind (PSYC30018_2025_SM1)- Requires Respondus LockDown Browser

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