According to Gordon Moore’s revised prediction in 1975, how long will it take for the number of transistors in an integrated circuit to double?

[Fill in the blank]
years

Question

According to Gordon Moore’s revised prediction in 1975, how long will it take for the number of transistors in an integrated circuit to double?
 
[Fill in the blank]
 years

BlackTom AI · Accepted Answer

The question concerns Gordon Moore’s revised prediction from 1975 about the doubling time of transistors on a chip.
First, consider what Moore originally stated: roughly a doubling of transistors every two years, which became known as Moore's Law. In 1975, Moore revised this estimate to a shorter timespan due to accelerating improvements in semiconductor fabrication.
Next, identify the commonly cited revised doubling time: it is about 18 months, meaning the number of transistors would double roughly every one and a half years.
To apply this to a fill-in-the-blank format that asks for a number of years, convert 18 months to years. Since 12 months make 1 year, 18 months equal 1.5 years. Therefore, the appropriate value to fill in is 1.5 years.
If one were to consider only full-year approximations, one might round to 2 years, but that would revert to the original two-year cadence rather than the revised 18-month forecast. The nuance here is recognizing the 1975 revision explicitly to 18 months.
In summary, Moore’s revised prediction tightens the cadence from two years to about one and a half years, reflecting faster expected progress in transistor density.

EESM5200 (L2) Part II: Topic 9 - Transistor Scaling

According to Gordon Moore’s revised prediction in 1975, how long will it take for the number of transistors in an integrated circuit to double? [Fill in the blank] years

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