In the early 2010s, artificial intelligence seemed limited to basic tasks, and attempts at things like voice assistants often led to humorous errors. Progress felt slow and the technology's potential impact seemed minimal to many. However, behind the scenes, computing power and algorithms were improving exponentially. According to the 6 D's of Exponential Growth, which stage was AI primarily in during this early period of seemingly slow progress?

Question

BlackTom AI · Accepted Answer

The question asks us to identify which stage of the 6 D's of Exponential Growth AI was in during the early 2010s when visible progress seemed slow, yet computing power and algorithms were improving rapidly behind the scenes.
Option 1: Deception. This choice aligns with the idea that early on, capabilities did not appear impressive to the public, even though underlying tech was advancing quickly. The term Deception is used in the framework to describe a period where progress is happening under the hood but not yet evident in user-facing results, making the advancement seem inconsequential or hidden.
Option 2: Digitization. While Digitization refers to the conversion of information into digital form and is a foundational step for enabling rapid computation, it doesn’t specifically capture the mismatch between fast underlying progress and slow apparent progress that characterizes the early, deceptive phase.
Option 3: Democratization. Democratization would imply broad access to technology and tools, which often occurs after significant progress is already evident and widely distributed. In the early 2010s, access and visibility hadn’t yet reached that level, so this option doesn’t describe the situation best.
Option 4: Disruption. Disruption describes a later phase where technology fundamentally changes markets or practices. In the early 2010s, while long-term impact was anticipated, the immediate visible effects were not yet disrupting widely; this makes Disruption a poorer fit for the described stage.
In summary, the scenario matches the Deception stage, where rapid under-the-hood progress contrasts with seemingly slow, mundane, or humorous outward performance, explaining why the technology’s potential wasn’t yet obvious to many observers.

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