Project risk is always in the past because project managers use historical data to understand what might go wrong in the project.

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BlackTom AI · Accepted Answer

Question restatement: The statement claims that project risk is always in the past because project managers rely on historical data to understand what might go wrong.

Option 1: True. This statement would be asserting that risk exists only in the past and can be understood solely from historical data. In reality, risk refers to uncertain events that could affect the project in the future. Historical data is a valuable input for assessing risk, but risk itself is inherently forward-looking because it concerns potential future events and their probability and impact. Therefore, labeling risk as “always in the past” is incorrect.

Option 2: False. This option correctly captures the nuance that risk is about future uncertainties. While historical data informs risk identification and prioritization (by showing patterns or frequencies of past issues), it does not imply that risks are limited to past occurrences. New, unforeseen events or changes in scope, technology, or external factors can introduce risks that did not appear in historical records. Thus, historical data is a tool, not a definition of risk’s temporal nature.

Additional considerations: When project managers perform risk management, they typically translate historical lessons into probabilistic assessments, sensitivity analyses, and risk registers for future planning. Relying solely on the past would overlook emerging risks or novel project contexts.

In summary, the statement is incorrect because risk is fundamentally forward-looking, and while historical data informs risk, it does not confine risk to past events.

PJM6015.20760.202525 PJM6015_Week 1_Test Your Knowledge (TYK)

Project risk is always in the past because project managers use historical data to understand what might go wrong in the project.

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