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SP25 ECON 312 001 Homework #7 (Introduction to the Short Run)

Numerical

Suppose the economy is currently producing at potential and the actual output is $22 trillion. The inflation rate is 4.5%. The slope of the Phillips curve is 1 2 . In response to a macroeconomic shock that does not affect actual output but raises potential output from $22 trillion to $22.5 trillion, you know that based on the Phillips Curve the inflation rate in the economy will change to ________ percent. Recall that πt=πt−1+Δπt. Round your answer to the nearest tenth of a percent.

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Opening thought: the problem mixes a Phillips-curve relationship with a shift in potential output and a stable actual output, so the key is to track the output gap and apply the given slope. Option exploration (no choices to pick from yet): we know the economy starts at Y = 22 trillion with inflation π = 4.5%. The slope of the Phillips curve is given as 1/2, which typically means a one-period change in inflation (Δπ) is half a percentage point per unit of output gap (depending on units), or alternatively Δπ = α (Y − Yp) with α = 0.5 if......Login to view full explanation

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An open economy is fully characterized by the following IS curve, monetary policy rule, and Phillips curve: IS: 𝑌 ~ 𝑡 = 𝑎 ¯ − ( 𝑏 ¯ 𝑖 + 𝑏 ¯ 𝑛 𝑥 ) ( 𝑅 𝑡 − 𝑟 ¯ ) + 𝑏 ¯ 𝑛 𝑥 ( 𝑅 𝑡 ∗ − 𝑟 ¯ ) , where 𝑅 𝑡 ∗ is the real interest abroad, 𝑎 ¯ = 𝑎 ¯ 𝑐 + 𝑎 ¯ 𝑖 + 𝑎 ¯ 𝑔 + 𝑎 ¯ 𝑛 𝑥 − 1 , and 𝑎 ¯ 𝑛 𝑥 = 𝑎 ¯ 𝑒 𝑥 − 𝑎 ¯ 𝑖 𝑚 . Monetary policy rule: 𝑅 𝑡 − 𝑟 ¯ = 𝑚 ¯ ( 𝜋 𝑡 − 𝜋 ¯ ) Phillips curve: 𝜋 𝑡 = 𝜋 𝑡 − 1 + 𝑣 ¯ 𝑌 ~ 𝑡 + 𝑜 ¯ 𝑡 Assume that 𝑎 ¯ = 0 , 𝑎 ¯ 𝑛 𝑥 = 0 , 𝑏 ¯ 𝑖 = 𝑏 ¯ 𝑛 𝑥 = 0.2 , 𝑣 ¯ = 0.5 , 𝑅 𝑡 ∗ = 0.04 , 𝑟 ¯ = 0.03 , 𝜋 𝑡 − 1 = 𝜋 ¯ = 0.02 , 𝑚 ¯ = 1 , and 𝑜 ¯ 𝑡 = 0.025 . Calculate 𝜋 𝑡 = ______ percent. Round your answer to the nearest tenth of a percent. Note: Calculate your answers for this one and the next three questions in a spreadsheet application. Enter rounded numbers in the answer box for each question. Do not, however, round your intermediate answers in the spreadsheet.

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